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PMID
41833578
TITLE
Testing the performance of polygenic scores for multiple traits to explain cerebral palsy in two independent cohorts.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND NlmCategory: BACKGROUND
Cerebral palsy (CP) is a complex neurodevelopmental disorder with both environmental and genetic contributors. Rare genetic variants explain a substantial proportion of CP, but the contribution of common variants remains unclear. We evaluated whether polygenic scores for CP and related traits explain the aetiology of CP.
METHODS NlmCategory: METHODS
Cerebral palsy (CP) is a complex neurodevelopmental disorder with both environmental and genetic contributors. Rare genetic variants explain a substantial proportion of CP, but the contribution of common variants remains unclear. We evaluated whether polygenic scores for CP and related traits explain the aetiology of CP. We analysed two independent target cohorts: a case-control cohort including people with a confirmed clinical diagnosis of CP from the Australian CP Biobank and population-based controls; and MyCode, a United States healthcare cohort with CP status identified by electronic health records. Only participants of European genetic ancestry were included. CP polygenic scores were constructed using a publicly available discovery genome-wide association meta-analysis of Finnish and UK cohorts (n = 624, n = 495,687) and applied to the target cohorts for out-of-sample prediction. Additional polygenic scores were generated from publicly available genome-wide association studies for seven CP-related traits. Predictive performance was assessed using logistic regression, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, and variance in CP liability explained.
FINDINGS NlmCategory: RESULTS
Cerebral palsy (CP) is a complex neurodevelopmental disorder with both environmental and genetic contributors. Rare genetic variants explain a substantial proportion of CP, but the contribution of common variants remains unclear. We evaluated whether polygenic scores for CP and related traits explain the aetiology of CP. We analysed two independent target cohorts: a case-control cohort including people with a confirmed clinical diagnosis of CP from the Australian CP Biobank and population-based controls; and MyCode, a United States healthcare cohort with CP status identified by electronic health records. Only participants of European genetic ancestry were included. CP polygenic scores were constructed using a publicly available discovery genome-wide association meta-analysis of Finnish and UK cohorts (n = 624, n = 495,687) and applied to the target cohorts for out-of-sample prediction. Additional polygenic scores were generated from publicly available genome-wide association studies for seven CP-related traits. Predictive performance was assessed using logistic regression, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, and variance in CP liability explained. The Australian cohort included 525 cases and 20,410 controls, and MyCode 322 cases and 1610 age-matched controls. The combined model of all eight polygenic scores significantly discriminated CP status, explaining 1·3% of CP liability in the Australian cohort (90% CI lower bound 0·82%, padj<0·0001), and 0·78% in MyCode (90% CI lower bound 0·35%, padj<0·0001). CP-specific polygenic scores demonstrated minimal predictive signal, likely reflecting limited GWAS power. Polygenic scores for known CP predisposing factors (birth weight, gestational duration, stroke) showed modest predictive performance, with some cohort differences. Results were similar when the Australian cohort was stratified by monogenic CP diagnosis.
INTERPRETATION NlmCategory: CONCLUSIONS
Cerebral palsy (CP) is a complex neurodevelopmental disorder with both environmental and genetic contributors. Rare genetic variants explain a substantial proportion of CP, but the contribution of common variants remains unclear. We evaluated whether polygenic scores for CP and related traits explain the aetiology of CP. We analysed two independent target cohorts: a case-control cohort including people with a confirmed clinical diagnosis of CP from the Australian CP Biobank and population-based controls; and MyCode, a United States healthcare cohort with CP status identified by electronic health records. Only participants of European genetic ancestry were included. CP polygenic scores were constructed using a publicly available discovery genome-wide association meta-analysis of Finnish and UK cohorts (n = 624, n = 495,687) and applied to the target cohorts for out-of-sample prediction. Additional polygenic scores were generated from publicly available genome-wide association studies for seven CP-related traits. Predictive performance was assessed using logistic regression, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, and variance in CP liability explained. The Australian cohort included 525 cases and 20,410 controls, and MyCode 322 cases and 1610 age-matched controls. The combined model of all eight polygenic scores significantly discriminated CP status, explaining 1·3% of CP liability in the Australian cohort (90% CI lower bound 0·82%, padj<0·0001), and 0·78% in MyCode (90% CI lower bound 0·35%, padj<0·0001). CP-specific polygenic scores demonstrated minimal predictive signal, likely reflecting limited GWAS power. Polygenic scores for known CP predisposing factors (birth weight, gestational duration, stroke) showed modest predictive performance, with some cohort differences. Results were similar when the Australian cohort was stratified by monogenic CP diagnosis. Our findings demonstrate a measurable polygenic contribution to CP and shared genetic influences with predisposing factors, including those traditionally considered environmental, and comorbidities. Common variants appear to contribute broadly to CP susceptibility, highlighting a multifactorial landscape relevant for earlier diagnosis and intervention.
FUNDING NlmCategory: BACKGROUND
Cerebral palsy (CP) is a complex neurodevelopmental disorder with both environmental and genetic contributors. Rare genetic variants explain a substantial proportion of CP, but the contribution of common variants remains unclear. We evaluated whether polygenic scores for CP and related traits explain the aetiology of CP. We analysed two independent target cohorts: a case-control cohort including people with a confirmed clinical diagnosis of CP from the Australian CP Biobank and population-based controls; and MyCode, a United States healthcare cohort with CP status identified by electronic health records. Only participants of European genetic ancestry were included. CP polygenic scores were constructed using a publicly available discovery genome-wide association meta-analysis of Finnish and UK cohorts (n = 624, n = 495,687) and applied to the target cohorts for out-of-sample prediction. Additional polygenic scores were generated from publicly available genome-wide association studies for seven CP-related traits. Predictive performance was assessed using logistic regression, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, and variance in CP liability explained. The Australian cohort included 525 cases and 20,410 controls, and MyCode 322 cases and 1610 age-matched controls. The combined model of all eight polygenic scores significantly discriminated CP status, explaining 1·3% of CP liability in the Australian cohort (90% CI lower bound 0·82%, padj<0·0001), and 0·78% in MyCode (90% CI lower bound 0·35%, padj<0·0001). CP-specific polygenic scores demonstrated minimal predictive signal, likely reflecting limited GWAS power. Polygenic scores for known CP predisposing factors (birth weight, gestational duration, stroke) showed modest predictive performance, with some cohort differences. Results were similar when the Australian cohort was stratified by monogenic CP diagnosis. Our findings demonstrate a measurable polygenic contribution to CP and shared genetic influences with predisposing factors, including those traditionally considered environmental, and comorbidities. Common variants appear to contribute broadly to CP susceptibility, highlighting a multifactorial landscape relevant for earlier diagnosis and intervention. Cerebral Palsy Alliance Research Foundation, NICHD, NHMRC, MRFF, QIMR Berghofer.
Copyright © 2026 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
DATE PUBLISHED
2026 Apr
HISTORY
PUBSTATUS PUBSTATUSDATE
received 2025/11/24
revised 2026/02/24
accepted 2026/02/25
medline 2026/04/11 00:32
pubmed 2026/03/16 00:30
entrez 2026/03/15 23:58
pmc-release 2026/03/14
AUTHORS
NAME COLLECTIVENAME LASTNAME FORENAME INITIALS AFFILIATION AFFILIATIONINFO
Thomas JT Thomas Jodi T JT Brain and Mental Health Program, QIMR Berghofer, Brisbane, QLD, Australia; School of Biomedical Sciences, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia.
Berry ASF Berry Alexander S F ASF Department of Developmental Medicine, Geisinger College of Health Sciences, Lewisburg, PA, USA.
Oetjens MT Oetjens Matthew T MT Department of Developmental Medicine, Geisinger College of Health Sciences, Lewisburg, PA, USA.
Berry JG Berry Jesia G JG School of Medicine and Robinson Research Institute, College of Health, Adelaide University, Adelaide, SA, Australia.
MacLennan AH MacLennan Alastair H AH School of Medicine and Robinson Research Institute, College of Health, Adelaide University, Adelaide, SA, Australia.
Gordon SD Gordon Scott D SD Brain and Mental Health Program, QIMR Berghofer, Brisbane, QLD, Australia.
Hale AT Hale Andrew T AT Department of Neurosurgery, The University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, USA; Neuroscience Institute, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
Olsen CM Olsen Catherine M CM Population Health Program, QIMR Berghofer, Brisbane, QLD, Australia.
Whiteman DC Whiteman David C DC Population Health Program, QIMR Berghofer, Brisbane, QLD, Australia.
Torene RI Torene Rebecca I RI Department of Developmental Medicine, Geisinger College of Health Sciences, Lewisburg, PA, USA.
Ledbetter DH Ledbetter David H DH Institute for Pediatric Rare Diseases, College of Medicine, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, USA.
Martin NG Martin Nicholas G NG Brain and Mental Health Program, QIMR Berghofer, Brisbane, QLD, Australia.
van Eyk CL van Eyk Clare L CL School of Medicine and Robinson Research Institute, College of Health, Adelaide University, Adelaide, SA, Australia.
Gecz J Gecz Jozef J School of Medicine and Robinson Research Institute, College of Health, Adelaide University, Adelaide, SA, Australia; South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute, Adelaide, SA, Australia.
Myers SM Myers Scott M SM Department of Developmental Medicine, Geisinger College of Health Sciences, Lewisburg, PA, USA.
Mitchell BL Mitchell Brittany L BL Brain and Mental Health Program, QIMR Berghofer, Brisbane, QLD, Australia; School of Biomedical Sciences, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia; School of Biomedical Sciences, Faculty of Health, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, QLD, Australia.
Corbett MA Corbett Mark A MA School of Medicine and Robinson Research Institute, College of Health, Adelaide University, Adelaide, SA, Australia. Electronic address: mark.corbett@adelaide.edu.au.
INVESTIGATORS
JOURNAL
VOLUME: 126
ISSUE:
TITLE: EBioMedicine
ISOABBREVIATION: EBioMedicine
YEAR: 2026
MONTH: Apr
DAY:
MEDLINEDATE:
SEASON:
CITEDMEDIUM: Internet
ISSN: 2352-3964
ISSNTYPE: Electronic
MEDLINE JOURNAL
MEDLINETA: EBioMedicine
COUNTRY: Netherlands
ISSNLINKING: 2352-3964
NLMUNIQUEID: 101647039
PUBLICATION TYPE
PUBLICATIONTYPE TEXT
Journal Article
COMMENTS AND CORRECTIONS
GRANTS
GRANTID AGENCY COUNTRY
R01 HD104938 NICHD NIH HHS United States
GENERAL NOTE
KEYWORDS
KEYWORD
Cerebral palsy
Genome wide association study
Hypoxic ischaemic encephalopathy
Intellectual disability
Non-progressive movement disorder
Polygenic
Stroke
MESH HEADINGS
DESCRIPTORNAME QUALIFIERNAME
Humans
Cerebral Palsy etiology
Multifactorial Inheritance etiology
Genome-Wide Association Study etiology
Female etiology
Male etiology
Genetic Predisposition to Disease etiology
Case-Control Studies etiology
Australia etiology
Cohort Studies etiology
Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide etiology
Adult etiology
Phenotype etiology
ROC Curve etiology
Middle Aged etiology
SUPPLEMENTARY MESH
GENE SYMBOLS
CHEMICALS
OTHER ID's